I am much less enthusiastic about the “Pac 10 Senior Quarterbacks” theory than I was in 2007, owing to Oregon’s lack of one, but I remain confident that it is a sound theory just the same. In 2007, betting $100 per game on senior Pac-10 QBs against the point spread no matter what, I turned $1,000 into $1,590 in three short months. And you can, too!! And past performance *is* a guaranteed lock on future returns!! (yes, inveterate gambler reader, I was penalizing myself the ‘vig’ in losses)
Vete
ran Senior Pac-10 Quarterbacks:
- Arizona, Willy Tuitama (Sr)
- Arizona State, Rudy Carpenter (Sr)
Juniors:
- USC, Mark Sanchez (Jr)
- OSU, Lyle Moevao (Jr)
- UCLA, Patrick Cowan (Sr)–>Ben Olson (Sr)–>Kevin Craft (Jr)
- Stanford, T. Ostrander Pritchard (Jr)
Sophomores:
- Washington, Jake Locker (So)
- California, Nate Longshore (Sr)–>Riley (So)
Freshman
- WSU, Rogers(Jr)–> Lopina (Fr)–>Lobbestael (Fr)
- Oregon, Nate Costa (So)–> Justin Roper (Jr)–>Jeremy Masoli (So)–> Chris Harper (Fr)–>Darron Thomas (Fr)
(This is a difficult conference in which to keep your quarterback upright.)
Week 1: Oregon State at Stanford–I take Stanford plus three points (final: Stanford 36-28/WIN); Michigan State at California–I take California minus 6.5 points (final: California 38-31/WIN); Tennesee at UCLA–I take UCLA plus six points (NO BET–they lost Olson); Idaho at Arizona–I take Arizona minus 29 points (final: 49-0 Arizona/WIN); Northern Arizona at Arizona State–NO LINE. Week One Change: +$300. New total: $1,300.
Week 2: Cal at WSU minus 13.5 (final Cal 66-3… but NO BET because Longshore was benched for the sophomore Riley); Toledo at Arizona minus 24 points (final Arizona 41-16/WIN); Stanford at ASU (Sr. Carpenter vs. Jr Pritchard; I take ASU minus 14.5) (final ASU 41-17/WIN). Change: +$200. New total: $1,600.
Week 3: Two Seniors left: ASU and Arizona. Arizona vs NMexico (-9.5) (final NMexico 36-28/LOSE); ASU vs UNLV (-25) (final UNLV 23-20/LOSE). Change: -$220. New total: $1,380.
Week 4. Arizona vs UCLA (-3.5) (final Arizona 31-10/WIN); ASU vs Georgia (+7.5) (final Georgia 27-10/LOSE). Change: -$10. New total: $1,370.
Week 5. no Pac 10 senior starters.
Week 6. ASU vs Cal (+9.5) (final ASU loses by 10/LOSS); Arizona vs. Washington (-24) (final Arizona wins by 34/WIN). Change: -$10. New total: $1,360.
Week 7. ASU vs USC (+27) (final ASU loses by 28/LOSS); Arizona vs Stanford (-6.5) (final Arizona loses by 1/LOSS). Change: -$220. New total: $1,140.
Week 8. Cal vs Arizona (+2.5) (Arizona wins by 15/WIN). Change: +$100. New total: $1,240.
Week 9. ASU vs Oregon (+3) (ASU loses by 34/LOSS); Arizona vs USC (+14) (Arizona loses by 7/WIN). Change: -$10. New total: $1,230.
Week 10. ASU vs OSU (+14) (ASU loses by 2/WIN). New total: $1,330.
Week 11. Arizona vs WSU (+40) (Arizona wins by 31/LOSS); ASU vs Washington (-13) (ASU wins by 20/WIN); plus Longshore starts once again for Cal vs. USC (+21.5) (Cal loses by 14/WIN). Change: +90. New total: $1,420.
Week 12. WSU vs ASU (-36) (ASU wins by 31/LOSS); Arizona vs Oregon (+6) (Oregon wins by 10/LOSS). Change: -$220. New total: $1,200.
Week 13. OSU vs Arizona (-3) (ASU loses by 2/LOSS). New total: $1,090.
Week 14. ASU vs UCLA (-9.5) (ASU wins by 25/WIN). New total: $1,190.
Week 15. ASU vs Arizona. Both senior QBs–doesn’t count.
2008 results: 19% ROI. Money.